Uluslararas\u0131 ili\u015fkiler uzmanlar\u0131, \u00f6nce tutuklanan sonra da ev hapsinde tutulan ABD vatanda\u015f\u0131 Papaz Andrew Craig Brunson\u2019la ilgili tart\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ABD ile ya\u015fanan krizin g\u00f6r\u00fcnen y\u00fcz\u00fc oldu\u011funu belirtiyor. Uzmanlar, as\u0131l sorunun T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019da, Irak\u2019ta, Suriye\u2019de ABD planlar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 ve ABD\u2019nin itirazlar\u0131na ra\u011fmen Rusya ve \u00c7in\u2019le \u00f6zel ili\u015fki kurmas\u0131 oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
KARA GECE<\/strong><\/p>\n D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 \u00c7avu\u015fo\u011flu ile ABD D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Pompeo aras\u0131nda Singapur\u2019da yap\u0131lan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme sonras\u0131nda piyasalar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fcn ak\u015fam\u0131, dolar h\u0131zla y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7ti. Gece saatlerinde dolar 5 lira 42 kuru\u015fa kadar y\u00fckseldi. Sonra \u201c\u00f6n anla\u015fma sa\u011fland\u0131\u201d haberlerinin yay\u0131lmas\u0131yla ini\u015fe ge\u00e7ti. Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fcyse \u201canla\u015fma yalan\u201d iddias\u0131yla yeniden y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n Geli\u015fmeleri Ayd\u0131nl\u0131k\u2019a de\u011ferlendiren ABD\u2019de de g\u00f6rev yapm\u0131\u015f bir diplomat, \u201cABD uzun s\u00fcredir T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi test ediyor. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi teslim almaya zorluyorlar. M\u00fczakereye elleri havada oturtmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yorlar\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n TEK BA\u015eINA \u00c7\u00d6Z\u00dcLMEZ<\/strong><\/p>\n AKP kurucular\u0131ndan ve eski Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131ndan Ertu\u011frul Yal\u00e7\u0131nbay\u0131r, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ciddi sorunlarla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011funu vurgulayarak, \u201cAKP\u2019nin tek ba\u015f\u0131na bu sorunlar\u0131n alt\u0131ndan kalkmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil. Her alanda toplumsal dayan\u0131\u015fmaya ihtiya\u00e7 var\u201d dedi. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin tek merkezden i\u015faretle y\u00f6netilemeyece\u011finin a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc kaydeden Yal\u00e7\u0131nbay\u0131r, \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi:<\/p>\n \u201c\u0130ktidar toplumsal bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 sa\u011flamal\u0131d\u0131r. Aksi halde sorunlar\u0131n alt\u0131ndan kalkamaz. Bunu yapmazsa ekonomiyi d\u00fczeltemez. D\u0131\u015f sald\u0131r\u0131lara kar\u015f\u0131 direnemez. Bayramlarda olu\u015fan ruh b\u00fct\u00fcn y\u0131la yay\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r. Bunu ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmezse T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin sonu iyi olmaz.\u201d<\/p>\n SORAL: OYUNUN SONUNA GEL\u0130ND\u0130<\/strong><\/p>\n Ekonomist Bartu Soral da AKP\u2019nin yanl\u0131\u015f ekonomi politikalar\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi d\u0131\u015f m\u00fcdahale ve operasyonlara a\u00e7\u0131k hale getirdi\u011fini belirtti. AKP\u2019nin tek ba\u015f\u0131na T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ve ekonominin sorunlar\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131ndan kalkamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n net olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc vurgulayan Soral \u015fu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fleri savundu: \u201cYa\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z krizin \u00fcstesinden gelebilmek i\u00e7in ehil ve i\u015f bilen ki\u015filerle \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 laz\u0131m. Ama AKP bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc buna yana\u015fm\u0131yor. Ya\u015fananlar\u0131n papazla ili\u015fkisi yok. Papaz\u0131 b\u0131raksan, ba\u015fka konu gelir. T\u00fcrkiye, 16 y\u0131ld\u0131r bor\u00e7la idare edildi. Bor\u00e7la afyonland\u0131. Bat\u0131 seni esir almak isterken bir ta\u015fla \u00fc\u00e7 ku\u015f vurdu. Ama art\u0131k oyunun sonuna gelindi. AKP \u015fu ana kadar toplumsal dayan\u0131\u015fma politikas\u0131n\u0131 reddetti. Ama T\u00fcrkiye batarsa i\u00e7inde AKP de olacak.\u201d<\/p>\n D\u00d6V\u0130Z KITLI\u011eININ NEDENLER\u0130 VE SERT HAREKET!<\/strong><\/p>\n Dolar ve avronun \u00f6nceki gece \u00fcst \u00fcste rekor k\u0131rmas\u0131 sonras\u0131 piyasa uzmanlar\u0131 ile konu\u015ftuk. Edindi\u011fimiz bilgilere g\u00f6re \u00f6zellikle T\u00fcrk piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n kapand\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve ABD piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 saatlerde g\u00f6r\u00fclen d\u00f6vizdeki oynakl\u0131k dikkat \u00e7ekti. T\u00fcrkiye saatiyle gece yar\u0131s\u0131 Asya piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 sonras\u0131 talep kesilince d\u00f6vizdeki hareketlilik durdu. ABD ile diplomatik ad\u0131mlar\u0131n at\u0131laca\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin olumlu haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 da d\u00f6vizin ate\u015fini alan etken oldu. D\u00fcn 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi y\u00fczde 20.09 ile, 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi de y\u00fczde 22.76 ile rekor k\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n GCM Menkul De\u011ferler Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Uzman\u0131 Enver Erkan, ya\u015fanan kur hareketinin dolar\u0131n artmas\u0131ndan \u00e7ok TL \u00fczerindeki stresten kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Alnus Yat\u0131r\u0131m\u2019dan d\u00fcn \u00fcyelerine ge\u00e7ilen a\u00e7\u0131k notta ise ya\u015fanan durum \u201cDolar k\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 krizi\u201d olarak adland\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. \u015eu de\u011ferlendirmeler yer ald\u0131: Ekonomideki arz-talep ili\u015fkisinde talep fazlal\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n s\u00f6z konusu oldu\u011fu k\u0131tl\u0131k durumunu ya\u015f\u0131yoruz. Dolar k\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6yle bir hale geldi ki BDDK verilerinden yap\u0131lan bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya g\u00f6re son 3 ayda 1.8 milyar dolar mevduat, bankalardan \u00e7ekilip tabiri caizse yast\u0131k alt\u0131na al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f. T\u00fcrkiye en k\u00f6t\u00fc g\u00fcn\u00fcnde bile b\u00f6yle yapmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n SICAK PARA CENNET\u0130N\u0130N SONU<\/strong><\/p>\n 2008 \u00f6ncesinde s\u0131f\u0131r faizli Japon yenine endeksli konut kredisi alan t\u00fcketiciler krizle beraber feryat edince ekonomi y\u00f6netimi, 16 Haziran 2009\u2019da vatanda\u015fa d\u00f6vize endeksli krediyi de yasaklarken d\u00f6viz geliri olmayan firmalara, yurti\u00e7i bankalardan d\u00f6viz kredisi kullanma yasa\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kald\u0131rd\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye b\u00f6ylelikle tam bir s\u0131cak para cennetine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrken 2008 krizinin te\u011fet ge\u00e7mesinde bu karar\u0131nda etkisi oldu. \u0130\u015fte bu noktada T\u00fcrkiye haz\u0131rl\u0131ks\u0131z yakalanm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n – Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131n hari\u00e7 rezervleri; 2016 Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda 106 milyar dolar iken temmuz sonunda 78 milyar dolara geriledi. Bankan\u0131n kredibilitesi zay\u0131flad\u0131.<\/p>\n – 2018 May\u0131s ay\u0131 itibar\u0131yla, Uluslararas\u0131 Yat\u0131r\u0131m Pozisyonu verilerine g\u00f6re, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin net yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fckleri 401 milyar dolar. Reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn net d\u00f6viz y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 217 milyar dolar. \u015eirketlerin d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7 geri \u00f6demeleri; bu ay 4 milyar, eyl\u00fclde 6 milyar ve ekimde 8 milyar dolar.<\/p>\n – Reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn 292 milyar dolar kredi borcunun; 173 milyar dolar\u0131 bankalar\u0131m\u0131za, 10 milyar dolar\u0131 leasing \u015firketlerimize iken 107 milyar dolar\u0131 yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan sa\u011flanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bankalar yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan kredi al\u0131p i\u00e7eriye kulland\u0131rm\u0131\u015flar. \u015eimdi geri \u00f6denemeyecek krediler art\u0131yor. Banka hisseleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n – 2018 May\u0131s itibar\u0131yla son 1 y\u0131l\u0131n cari i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 57.6 milyar dolar oldu. Finansman yetmedi\u011fi i\u00e7in rezervlerden kar\u015f\u0131lanmaya ba\u015fland\u0131.<\/p>\n – Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n art\u0131k en \u00f6nemli g\u00f6revi, dolar k\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ortadan kald\u0131rmak ve b\u00f6ylece enflasyonu da dizginlemek olmal\u0131d\u0131r. \u201cD\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7lanmada \u015fimdi biz \u00c7in piyasas\u0131na y\u00f6neliyoruz\u201d a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 bu y\u00f6nde at\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bir ad\u0131m olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Ama daha yapacak \u00e7ok i\u015f var.<\/p>\n ALTI MADDEL\u0130K \u00c7\u00d6Z\u00dcM<\/strong><\/p>\n H\u00fck\u00fcmet ya\u015fanan dolar krizine kar\u015f\u0131 sessiz. Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 ba\u015fdan\u0131\u015fmanlar\u0131ndan Cemil Ertem ise d\u00fcn Milliyet\u2019te kaleme ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u00f6\u015fe yaz\u0131s\u0131nda, \u201cBa\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z olamayan bir \u00fclke, hi\u00e7 bir zaman d\u0131\u015fa tam a\u00e7\u0131k ve serbest piyasa ekonomisinin i\u015fledi\u011fi bir \u00fclke de olamaz. Sanc\u0131l\u0131 da olsa, tam d\u0131\u015fa a\u00e7\u0131k, sermaye giri\u015f \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n sonsuz serbest oldu\u011fu ve ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z para politikas\u0131n\u0131n uyguland\u0131\u011f\u0131 ekonomiyi in\u015fa ediyoruz. Burada tabii ki kur, teknik olarak da siyasi olarak da bir hedef olamaz\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n Kurun hedef olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir politikada y\u00fckselen enflasyon, y\u00fckselen faizler ve kur maliyeti fiyatlama davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 bozarak, finansal istikrar\u0131 tehdit ediyor. Uzmanlara g\u00f6re H\u00fck\u00fcmet\u2019in \u015fu a\u015famada yapmas\u0131 gerekenler bir program dahilinde ilan edilmeli. Bunlardan baz\u0131lar\u0131 ise \u015fu \u015fekilde s\u0131ralan\u0131yor;<\/p>\n – Gereksiz kamu harcamalar\u0131nda kesintiye gidilerek b\u00fct\u00e7enin dengelenmesi,<\/p>\n – Hazine bor\u00e7lanmalar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131racak ad\u0131mlardan ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmas\u0131,<\/p>\n – Cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 azaltmak i\u00e7in ivedilikle keyfi ithalat\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7ecek sert tedbirler al\u0131nmas\u0131,<\/p>\n – Y\u00fcksek d\u00f6viz ihtiyac\u0131 olan \u015firketlerle g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fclerek bunun direk Merkez Bankas\u0131 kanal\u0131yla sa\u011flanmas\u0131,<\/p>\n – Enflasyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrecek tedbirlerin a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 ve piyasan\u0131n buna ikna edilmesi,<\/p>\n – \u00c7in\u2019den ivedilikle kaynak ak\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayacak ad\u0131mlar\u0131n at\u0131lmas\u0131.<\/p>\n HABER\u0130N KAYNA\u011eI :\u00a0Ayd\u0131nl\u0131k Gazetesi<\/a><\/p>\n <\/p>\n
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