{"id":2633,"date":"2025-02-07T20:00:05","date_gmt":"2025-02-07T17:00:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sektorturk.com\/?p=2633"},"modified":"2025-07-28T19:44:10","modified_gmt":"2025-07-28T16:44:10","slug":"avrupa-trump-in-ikinci-doneminden-endiseli","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tr.sektorturk.com\/?p=2633","title":{"rendered":"Ekonomist Zafer \u00d6ZC\u0130VAN : AVRUPA TRUMP IN \u0130K\u0130NC\u0130 D\u00d6NEM\u0130NDEN END\u0130\u015eEL\u0130"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Yeni bir k\u00fcresel ankete g\u00f6re, \u0130ngiltere, G\u00fcney Kore ve AB \u00fcyeleri gibi geleneksel ABD m\u00fcttefiki \u00fclkelerin vatanda\u015flar\u0131, Trump y\u00f6netiminin gelece\u011fi konusunda d\u00fcnyan\u0131n geri kalan\u0131na k\u0131yasla daha fazla endi\u015feli. T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki genel g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f ise karars\u0131z.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Avrupa D\u0131\u015f \u0130li\u015fkiler Konseyi (ECFR) ve Oxford \u00dcniversitesi&#8217;nin &#8220;Europe in a Changing World&#8221; ara\u015ft\u0131rma projesi kapsam\u0131nda yap\u0131lan anket, d\u00fcnya genelinde farkl\u0131 \u00fclkelerin Trump&#8217;\u0131n ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini ve gelecekteki d\u00fcnya d\u00fczenine ili\u015fkin beklentilerini ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Buna g\u00f6re, ABD&#8217;nin Avrupa&#8217;daki m\u00fcttefikleri Donald Trump&#8217;\u0131n liderli\u011finde gelecekteki k\u00fcresel d\u00fczen konusunda endi\u015feli.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yine ankete g\u00f6re, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir k\u0131sm\u0131, Trump&#8217;\u0131n ikinci ba\u015fkanl\u0131k d\u00f6neminin ABD ve d\u00fcnya bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in olumlu olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Ancak, olumsuz bakan ve karars\u0131z olan kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131 da olduk\u00e7a fazla. Ayn\u0131 zamanda T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n neredeyse yar\u0131s\u0131, ABD&#8217;nin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 20 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde demokrasi olmaktan \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Avrupa Birli\u011fi (AB) ve \u0130ngiltere&#8217;de halk\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu ikinci bir Trump y\u00f6netiminin Amerikan vatanda\u015flar\u0131na, kendi \u00fclkelerine ve k\u00fcresel \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcne zarar verece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Benzer \u015fekilde G\u00fcney Kore&#8217;de de Trump&#8217;a y\u00f6nelik kamuoyu alg\u0131s\u0131 olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Euronews&#8217;e konu\u015fan Oxford \u00dcniversitesi&#8217;nden tarih\u00e7i ve ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n e\u015f yazar\u0131 Timothy Garton Ash, &#8220;Bizim [AB ve G\u00fcney Kore] ortak noktam\u0131z nedir? \u0130kimiz de ABD&#8217;nin m\u00fcttefikiyiz ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fimiz i\u00e7in ABD&#8217;ye muhtac\u0131z,&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ancak Trump&#8217;\u0131n d\u0131\u015f politikadaki \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemezli\u011fi, \u00f6zellikle de NATO&#8217;ya ve Ukrayna&#8217;da devam eden sava\u015fa yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131, ABD&#8217;nin bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma durumunda transatlantik m\u00fcttefiklerini destekleyip desteklemeyece\u011fi konusunda Avrupa&#8217;da giderek artan endi\u015felere yol a\u00e7\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ancak ECFR, AB&#8217;nin ABD&#8217;nin se\u00e7ilmi\u015f ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve blo\u011fun bu \u00fclkeyle nas\u0131l bir ili\u015fki i\u00e7inde olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi konusunda b\u00f6l\u00fcnm\u00fc\u015f durumda oldu\u011funu da ekliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Garton Ash, &#8220;Korkar\u0131m Trump&#8217;\u0131n etkisi sadece Bat\u0131&#8217;y\u0131 b\u00f6lmekle kalmayacak, Avrupa&#8217;y\u0131 da b\u00f6lecek. Bu da biz Avrupal\u0131lar i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck bir meydan okuma,&#8221; diye ekledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130talya Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Giorgia Meloni&#8217;nin k\u0131sa s\u00fcre \u00f6nce Florida&#8217;daki konutu Mar-a-Lago&#8217;ya yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ziyareti ya da Macaristan Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Viktor Orban&#8217;\u0131n Trump&#8217;a verdi\u011fi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc deste\u011fi hat\u0131rlatt\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rapora g\u00f6re, AB&#8217;nin Trump&#8217;a kar\u015f\u0131 do\u011frudan bir birlik sa\u011flama \u00e7abas\u0131 hem \u00fcye \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda hem de \u00fcye \u00fclkeler i\u00e7inde b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcnmelere yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Blok genelinde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 21&#8217;i ABD&#8217;yi \u00e7\u0131kar ve de\u011ferleri payla\u015fan bir m\u00fcttefik olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, y\u00fczde 50&#8217;si gerekli bir ortak, y\u00fczde 3&#8217;\u00fc ise \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma halindeki bir rakip olarak de\u011ferlendiriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Avrupa&#8217;daki alg\u0131lar\u0131n aksine, Hindistan, \u00c7in ve Rusya gibi \u00fclkelerde ya\u015fayanlar, Trump&#8217;\u0131n Beyaz Saray&#8217;a d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc konusunda daha iyimser ve bunun kendi \u00fclkeleri ve k\u00fcresel bar\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in faydal\u0131 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rapor bu iyimserli\u011fi Trump&#8217;\u0131n Ukrayna ve Orta Do\u011fu&#8217;daki sava\u015flar\u0131 sona erdirme vaatlerine ba\u011fl\u0131yor ancak bu vaatlerin yerine getirilmemesinin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda kamuoyunun g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011fi\u015ftirebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulunuluyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/C0GStZ_9gf0?si=J8gR3h6hpfqov1kn\" title=\"YouTube video player\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00d6rne\u011fin, Hindistan&#8217;daki kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 82&#8217;si Trump&#8217;\u0131n ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnya bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in iyi olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcrken, bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f Suudi Arabistan&#8217;da vatanda\u015flar\u0131n y\u00fczde 57&#8217;si ve \u00c7in&#8217;de yar\u0131s\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131 (y\u00fczde 52) taraf\u0131ndan payla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Etki i\u00e7in yar\u0131\u015f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ABD&#8217;nin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llardaki rol\u00fcne ili\u015fkin alg\u0131lamalardaki b\u00f6l\u00fcnmeler, hangi \u00fclkelerin ba\u015fl\u0131ca k\u00fcresel akt\u00f6rler olaca\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin alg\u0131lamalara da yans\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>D\u00fcnya genelinde pek \u00e7ok ki\u015fi Avrupa Birli\u011fi&#8217;ni giderek daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u00fcresel g\u00fc\u00e7 olarak g\u00f6rmektedir. Aralar\u0131nda \u00c7in, ABD ve Suudi Arabistan&#8217;\u0131n da bulundu\u011fu \u00e7o\u011fu \u00fclke AB&#8217;nin di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7lerle e\u015fit \u015fartlarda m\u00fczakere edebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ancak ara\u015ft\u0131rma, AB&#8217;nin etkisine en \u015f\u00fcpheyle yakla\u015fanlar\u0131n Avrupal\u0131lar\u0131n kendileri oldu\u011funu ve vatanda\u015flar\u0131n neredeyse yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n AB&#8217;nin ABD ya da \u00c7in ile e\u015fit \u015fartlarda m\u00fczakere edebilece\u011finden \u015f\u00fcphe duydu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>(Yukar\u0131daki yaz\u0131 Euronews sitesinden al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ZAFER \u00d6ZC\u0130VAN<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ekonomist-Yazar<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"mailto:zozcivan@hotmail.com\">zozcivan@hotmail.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Yeni bir k\u00fcresel ankete g\u00f6re, \u0130ngiltere, G\u00fcney Kore ve AB \u00fcyeleri gibi geleneksel ABD m\u00fcttefiki \u00fclkelerin vatanda\u015flar\u0131, Trump y\u00f6netiminin gelece\u011fi konusunda d\u00fcnyan\u0131n geri kalan\u0131na k\u0131yasla daha fazla endi\u015feli. T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki genel g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f ise karars\u0131z. Avrupa D\u0131\u015f \u0130li\u015fkiler Konseyi (ECFR) ve Oxford \u00dcniversitesi&#8217;nin &#8220;Europe in a Changing World&#8221; ara\u015ft\u0131rma projesi kapsam\u0131nda yap\u0131lan anket, d\u00fcnya genelinde farkl\u0131 \u00fclkelerin Trump&#8217;\u0131n ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini ve gelecekteki d\u00fcnya d\u00fczenine ili\u015fkin beklentilerini ortaya koydu. Buna g\u00f6re, ABD&#8217;nin Avrupa&#8217;daki m\u00fcttefikleri Donald Trump&#8217;\u0131n liderli\u011finde gelecekteki k\u00fcresel d\u00fczen konusunda endi\u015feli. Yine ankete g\u00f6re, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir k\u0131sm\u0131, Trump&#8217;\u0131n ikinci ba\u015fkanl\u0131k d\u00f6neminin ABD ve d\u00fcnya bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in olumlu olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Ancak, olumsuz bakan ve karars\u0131z olan kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131 da olduk\u00e7a fazla. Ayn\u0131 zamanda T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n neredeyse yar\u0131s\u0131, ABD&#8217;nin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 20 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde demokrasi olmaktan \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Avrupa Birli\u011fi (AB) ve \u0130ngiltere&#8217;de halk\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu ikinci bir Trump y\u00f6netiminin Amerikan vatanda\u015flar\u0131na, kendi \u00fclkelerine ve k\u00fcresel \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcne zarar verece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Benzer \u015fekilde G\u00fcney Kore&#8217;de de Trump&#8217;a y\u00f6nelik kamuoyu alg\u0131s\u0131 olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. Euronews&#8217;e konu\u015fan Oxford \u00dcniversitesi&#8217;nden tarih\u00e7i ve ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n e\u015f yazar\u0131 Timothy Garton Ash, &#8220;Bizim [AB ve G\u00fcney Kore] ortak noktam\u0131z nedir? \u0130kimiz de ABD&#8217;nin m\u00fcttefikiyiz ve g\u00fcvenli\u011fimiz i\u00e7in ABD&#8217;ye muhtac\u0131z,&#8221; dedi. Ancak Trump&#8217;\u0131n d\u0131\u015f politikadaki \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemezli\u011fi, \u00f6zellikle de NATO&#8217;ya ve Ukrayna&#8217;da devam eden sava\u015fa yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131, ABD&#8217;nin bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma durumunda transatlantik m\u00fcttefiklerini destekleyip desteklemeyece\u011fi konusunda Avrupa&#8217;da giderek artan endi\u015felere yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. Ancak ECFR, AB&#8217;nin ABD&#8217;nin se\u00e7ilmi\u015f ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve blo\u011fun bu \u00fclkeyle nas\u0131l bir ili\u015fki i\u00e7inde olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi konusunda b\u00f6l\u00fcnm\u00fc\u015f durumda oldu\u011funu da ekliyor. Garton Ash, &#8220;Korkar\u0131m Trump&#8217;\u0131n etkisi sadece Bat\u0131&#8217;y\u0131 b\u00f6lmekle kalmayacak, Avrupa&#8217;y\u0131 da b\u00f6lecek. Bu da biz Avrupal\u0131lar i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck bir meydan okuma,&#8221; diye ekledi. \u0130talya Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Giorgia Meloni&#8217;nin k\u0131sa s\u00fcre \u00f6nce Florida&#8217;daki konutu Mar-a-Lago&#8217;ya yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ziyareti ya da Macaristan Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Viktor Orban&#8217;\u0131n Trump&#8217;a verdi\u011fi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc deste\u011fi hat\u0131rlatt\u0131. Rapora g\u00f6re, AB&#8217;nin Trump&#8217;a kar\u015f\u0131 do\u011frudan bir birlik sa\u011flama \u00e7abas\u0131 hem \u00fcye \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda hem de \u00fcye \u00fclkeler i\u00e7inde b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcnmelere yol a\u00e7abilir. Blok genelinde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 21&#8217;i ABD&#8217;yi \u00e7\u0131kar ve de\u011ferleri payla\u015fan bir m\u00fcttefik olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, y\u00fczde 50&#8217;si gerekli bir ortak, y\u00fczde 3&#8217;\u00fc ise \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma halindeki bir rakip olarak de\u011ferlendiriyor. Avrupa&#8217;daki alg\u0131lar\u0131n aksine, Hindistan, \u00c7in ve Rusya gibi \u00fclkelerde ya\u015fayanlar, Trump&#8217;\u0131n Beyaz Saray&#8217;a d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fc konusunda daha iyimser ve bunun kendi \u00fclkeleri ve k\u00fcresel bar\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in faydal\u0131 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Rapor bu iyimserli\u011fi Trump&#8217;\u0131n Ukrayna ve Orta Do\u011fu&#8217;daki sava\u015flar\u0131 sona erdirme vaatlerine ba\u011fl\u0131yor ancak bu vaatlerin yerine getirilmemesinin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda kamuoyunun g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011fi\u015ftirebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulunuluyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin, Hindistan&#8217;daki kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 82&#8217;si Trump&#8217;\u0131n ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnya bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in iyi olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcrken, bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f Suudi Arabistan&#8217;da vatanda\u015flar\u0131n y\u00fczde 57&#8217;si ve \u00c7in&#8217;de yar\u0131s\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131 (y\u00fczde 52) taraf\u0131ndan payla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. Etki i\u00e7in yar\u0131\u015f ABD&#8217;nin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llardaki rol\u00fcne ili\u015fkin alg\u0131lamalardaki b\u00f6l\u00fcnmeler, hangi \u00fclkelerin ba\u015fl\u0131ca k\u00fcresel akt\u00f6rler olaca\u011f\u0131na ili\u015fkin alg\u0131lamalara da yans\u0131yor. D\u00fcnya genelinde pek \u00e7ok ki\u015fi Avrupa Birli\u011fi&#8217;ni giderek daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u00fcresel g\u00fc\u00e7 olarak g\u00f6rmektedir. Aralar\u0131nda \u00c7in, ABD ve Suudi Arabistan&#8217;\u0131n da bulundu\u011fu \u00e7o\u011fu \u00fclke AB&#8217;nin di\u011fer b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fc\u00e7lerle e\u015fit \u015fartlarda m\u00fczakere edebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmektedir. Ancak ara\u015ft\u0131rma, AB&#8217;nin etkisine en \u015f\u00fcpheyle yakla\u015fanlar\u0131n Avrupal\u0131lar\u0131n kendileri oldu\u011funu ve vatanda\u015flar\u0131n neredeyse yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n AB&#8217;nin ABD ya da \u00c7in ile e\u015fit \u015fartlarda m\u00fczakere edebilece\u011finden \u015f\u00fcphe duydu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. (Yukar\u0131daki yaz\u0131 Euronews sitesinden al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.) ZAFER \u00d6ZC\u0130VAN Ekonomist-Yazar zozcivan@hotmail.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2639,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[26,267],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2633","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kose-yazarlari","category-zafer-ozcivan"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tr.sektorturk.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2633","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tr.sektorturk.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tr.sektorturk.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tr.sektorturk.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tr.sektorturk.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2633"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/tr.sektorturk.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2633\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3440,"href":"https:\/\/tr.sektorturk.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2633\/revisions\/3440"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tr.sektorturk.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2639"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tr.sektorturk.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2633"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tr.sektorturk.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2633"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tr.sektorturk.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2633"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}