\u00c7in h\u00fck\u00fcmeti, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 se\u00e7ilen Donald Trump’\u0131n vadetti\u011fi y\u00fcksek g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergilerinin ekonomide yarataca\u011f\u0131 \u015foklara haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u00c7in’de, iktidardaki Kom\u00fcnist Partisi emlak krizi ve COVID-19 salg\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda ya\u015fanan aksakl\u0131klar nedeniyle t\u0131kanan ekonomiyi canland\u0131rmada t\u00fcketicilerin ve \u00fcreticilerin daha fazla harcama yapmalar\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamak, \u00c7in para birimi Yuan ve hisse senedi fiyatlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne engel olmak i\u00e7in bir dizi \u00f6nlem al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Bu bir bak\u0131ma ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 se\u00e7ilen Donald Trump’\u0131n vadetti\u011fi y\u00fcksek g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergilerinin ekonomide yarataca\u011f\u0131 \u015foklara kar\u015f\u0131 \u00c7in h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin haz\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u00d6te yandan, Henley & Partners taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan bir rapora g\u00f6re, 2022’den bu yana 13.800 kadar ‘s\u00fcper zengin’, ekonomik zorluklar nedeniyle \u00fclkeden ayr\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u0130\u015fte, \u00c7in’in kaderini tersine \u00e7evirmek i\u00e7in 2025 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ncelikler listesinde yer alan baz\u0131 ba\u015fl\u0131klar:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Harcamalar\u0131 te\u015fvik etmek<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u00c7in, s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir enerjiyle \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan ara\u00e7 modellerinin sat\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131nda ba\u015fvurdu\u011fu ara\u00e7 geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm program\u0131n\u0131 geni\u015fletmeyi ama\u00e7l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lan bir a\u00e7\u0131klamada, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l haziran ay\u0131nda ba\u015flayan program sayesinde benzinle \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan 6,5 milyon arac\u0131n elektrikli ve hibrit ara\u00e7larla de\u011fi\u015ftirildi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Yetkililer ayr\u0131ca, son birka\u00e7 ay i\u00e7inde yeni beyaz e\u015fya sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda \u00e7ift haneli art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc kaydetti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Harcamalardaki y\u00fczde 20’lik s\u00fcbvansiyonun art\u0131k bir d\u00fczine alet-edevat\u0131, cep telefonlar\u0131 gibi dijital \u00fcr\u00fcnleri kapsad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Buna ek olarak fabrikalardaki eski makinelerin yenilenmesi de s\u00fcbvanse ediliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Keyfi denetimlere uyar\u0131<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Adalet Bakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Hu Weillie, sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc gazetecilere yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, yerel y\u00f6netimlerin i\u015fleri aksatan “keyfi denetimlerden” ka\u00e7\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 istedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Devlet yay\u0131n kurulu\u015fu Xinhua Haber Ajans\u0131’n\u0131n aktar\u0131m\u0131na g\u00f6re, varl\u0131klara keyfi el konulmas\u0131, \u00fcretimin durdurulmas\u0131 ve g\u00fcc\u00fcn k\u00f6t\u00fcye kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 bu sayede engellenecek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ba\u015fbakan Li Qiang’a g\u00f6re bu, \u00c7in’deki i\u015f ortam\u0131n\u0131 iyile\u015ftirmeyi ama\u00e7layan bir s\u00fcrecin par\u00e7as\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Bu ad\u0131m, nakit s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 \u00e7eken yerel y\u00f6netimlerin \u015firketleri haraca ba\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik iddialar ve gelen \u015fikayetler sonras\u0131nda at\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Daha fazla para<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u00c7in \u015fimdiye kadar harcamalara te\u015fvik ettirmede b\u00fcy\u00fck bir proje ba\u015flatmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Daha hedefli ve kademeli bir y\u00f6nteme ba\u015fvuruyorlard\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Fakat Ulusal Kalk\u0131nma ve Reform Komisyonu Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Zhao Chenxin, h\u00fck\u00fcmetin bu t\u00fcr harcamalar\u0131 finanse etmede “\u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde daha b\u00fcy\u00fck” \u00f6l\u00e7ekli uzun vadeli hazine tahvilleri duyurmay\u0131 planlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ayr\u0131ca kesin rakamlar, mart ay\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131nda yap\u0131lmas\u0131 planlanan yasama meclisinin y\u0131ll\u0131k toplant\u0131s\u0131na kadar gelmeyecek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Halk\u0131n paras\u0131<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u00c7in Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta sonu d\u00fczenledi\u011fi toplant\u0131da, \u00fclkenin para birimi yuan\u0131n sabit tutulmas\u0131 ve piyasalarda istikrar sa\u011flamas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde karar al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
“Renminbi” (halk\u0131n paras\u0131) olarak tan\u0131mlanan \u00c7in para birimi, ABD dolar\u0131 ve di\u011fer para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda zay\u0131flayarak finans piyasalar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u015eanghay’daki borsa da 3.700’e y\u00fckseldi\u011fi eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 sonundaki k\u0131sa canlanman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yeniden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ge\u00e7ip 3.200 seviyesine geriledi. Yuan \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda 7.3278’den i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu. Ekim ay\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131nda 7’ydi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Yuan\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131 \u00c7in’in ihracat\u0131n\u0131 daha rekabet\u00e7i hale getirebilir. Fakat \u00fclkenin ticari ortaklar\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131zd\u0131rma riskini de ta\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ekonomiyi \u00f6vmek<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u00c7in’deki iktidar, muhalefete \u00e7ok az alan tan\u0131yor ve bu bir bak\u0131ma ekonomi hakk\u0131nda konu\u015fmay\u0131 da k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Xi Jinping’in liderli\u011fine destek toplamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan yetkililer, ekonomi politikalar\u0131n\u0131 ele\u015ftiren uzmanlar\u0131n sosyal medya hesaplar\u0131n\u0131 ask\u0131ya ald\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Xinhua’n\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz g\u00fcnlerde yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir haberde, “ana ak\u0131m kamuoyu yarat\u0131lmas\u0131” ve “kamuoyunu do\u011fru \u015fekillendirecek g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerin sa\u011flanmas\u0131” i\u00e7in \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131 yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ara\u015ft\u0131rma ve dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k firmas\u0131 Rhodium Group’un yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemde payla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir raporda, \u00c7in’in ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki ger\u00e7ek ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin y\u00fczde 2,4 ila y\u00fczde 2,8 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu, ger\u00e7ek b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin resmi olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanan y\u00fczde 5’in alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
(Yukar\u0131daki yaz\u0131 Euronews sitesinden al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
ZAFER \u00d6ZC\u0130VAN<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ekonomist-Yazar<\/p>\n\n\n\n